Goldman Predicts US Recession Odds at 35% in 2 Years, John Mauldin Wouldn’t Be Surprised if Stocks Fell 40% – Economics Bitcoin News

Goldman Predicts US Recession Odds at 35% in 2 Years, John Mauldin Wouldn’t Be Surprised if Stocks Fell 40% – Economics Bitcoin News
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The American economy continues to look gloomy and signals pointing toward a looming recession continue to appear. In a note sent to clients this week, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist said the bank envisions the “odds of a recession as roughly 15% in the next 12 months and 35% within the next 24 months.” Furthermore, the renowned financial expert John Mauldin details that he would not be surprised if the stock market crashed by 40%, as he believes a recession is likely due this year.

Goldman Prediction: ‘Odds of a Recession Roughly 15% in the Next Year, 35% Within the Next 24 Months’

The U.S. economy is dealing with significant pressures as supply chains are restricted and consumer prices are soaring amid war taking place overseas in Europe. Just recently, Bitcoin.com News reported on last month’s consumer price index data that had shown America’s inflation rate increased sharply to 8.5% in March.

A couple days later, our newsdesk explained how the hedge fund manager Michael Burry believes the U.S. Federal Reserve has no intentions of fighting inflation. Moreover, the famed author, Robert Kiyosaki, thinks hyperinflation and depression are already here.

Goldman Predicts US Recession Odds at 35% in 2 Years, John Mauldin Wouldn't Be Surprised if Stocks Fell 40%
Goldman Sachs’ chief economist Jan Hatzius.

In a note sent to investors this week, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist Jan Hatzius detailed Goldman’s forecast and the probability of the U.S. falling into a recession. Hatzius said the Federal Reserve faces a “hard path to a soft landing” and Goldman expects the chances of a U.S. recession to be 35% over the next two years.

“Our analysis of historical G10 episodes suggests that although strong economic momentum limits the risk in the near-term, the policy tightening we expect raises the odds of recession. As a result, we now see the odds of a recession as roughly 15% in the next 12 months and 35% within the next 24 months,” Hatzius explained.

Hatzius further detailed that historical patterns are showing the economy could get rocky. He noted that 11 out of 14 economic cycles since World War II have led to a recession within a 24-month period. “Taken at face value, these historical patterns suggest the Fed faces a narrow path to a soft landing as it aims to close the jobs-workers gap and bring inflation back towards its 2% target,” Hatzius added.

Bridgewater Associates Founder Ray Dalio Expects a ‘Period of Stagflation’

Goldman’s chief economist is one of many predicting a downturn in the U.S. economy in the coming months. Over the last few months, a great number of financial analysts and economists have been attempting to predict the U.S. economy’s future.

Goldman Predicts US Recession Odds at 35% in 2 Years, John Mauldin Wouldn't Be Surprised if Stocks Fell 40%
Bridgewater Associates founder, and co-chief investment executive Ray Dalio.

During an interview with Yahoo Finance published on April 4, Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates founder, and co-chief investment executive, said he envisions a stagflation environment. Dalio remarked:

So what you have is enough tightening by the Federal Reserve to deal with inflation adequately, and that is too much tightening for the markets and the economy. So the Fed is going to be in a very difficult place a year from now as inflation still remains high and it starts to pinch on both the markets and the economy. I think that most likely what we’re going to have is a period of stagflation. And then you have to understand how to build a portfolio that’s balanced for that kind of environment.

Best-Selling Author and Financial Expert John Mauldin: ‘My Instinct Tells Me This Will Not Be a 12-Month Wait’

The well known financial expert John Mauldin is predicting an economic downturn as well, as he recently explained that he would not be surprised if the stock market crashed by 40%. “[Fed chair Jerome] Powell and his crew hope to engineer the fabled ‘soft landing,’” Mauldin opined. “I really doubt they can do it,” he added.

Goldman Predicts US Recession Odds at 35% in 2 Years, John Mauldin Wouldn't Be Surprised if Stocks Fell 40%
Renowned financial expert and New York Times best-selling author, John Mauldin.

Mauldin remarked on how the 2-year Treasury yield recently surpassed the 10-year Treasury yield, which recorded an inverted yield curve. “That’s the opposite of normal. Then again, a bunch of things have been the opposite of normal lately,” Mauldin said. The financial analyst is known for predicting the U.S. recessions that occurred in 2000 and 2008, and he believes the tell-tale signs are no different. “We have many indications recession is near,” the blog post written by Mauldin notes. The financial analyst’s blog post concludes by stating:

There is absolutely no way to precisely predict when a recession begins. My instinct tells me this will not be a 12-month wait. I think things just continue to slow down and one day we’ll look up and see a recession. And then a little bit later we’ll be growing again. That’s how these things work.

Tags in this story
40% stocks crash, Bridgewater Associates founder, Central Bank, Depression, economic patterns, Economic Recession, economics, Fed, Federal Reserve, gloomy economy, Goldman Sachs’ chief economist, historical patterns, inflation, inverted yield curve, Jan Hatzius, jerome powell, John Mauldin, note to investors, Ray Dalio, Recession, recession signals, recession signs, stagflation, Stock Market, Stock Market Crash, US Central Bank, us depression

What do you think about the predictions concerning a possible recession in the United States? Do you expect an economic downturn to take place in the near future? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial tech journalist living in Florida. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. He has a passion for Bitcoin, open-source code, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 5,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.




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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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LINK Hovers Near Long-Term Support as ZIL Loses 10% of Its Value – Market Updates Bitcoin News

LINK Hovers Near Long-Term Support as ZIL Loses 10% of Its Value – Market Updates Bitcoin News
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ZIL was down by as much as 10% to start the week, as prices continued to fall following recent highs. LINK was also predominantly red on Monday, as it marginally fell below the long-term support level, hitting a one-month low in the process.

Zilliqa (ZIL)

ZIL was one of the biggest crypto movers on Monday, as prices dropped by as much as 10% to start the week.

After trading at a high of $0.1154 on Easter Sunday, ZIL/USD raced to an intraday bottom of $0.1015 during Monday’s session.

Today’s drop sees ZIL fall for the fourth consecutive session, pushing prices below its recent support level in the process.

Biggest Movers: LINK Hovers Near Long-Term Support as ZIL Loses 10% of Its Value
ZIL/USD – Daily Chart

This floor of $0.1030 gave way for the first time this month, with prices falling to their lowest level since late March.

In addition to this, the 14-day RSI also saw its own floor broken, as price strength continued to track in oversold territory.

Following a high of $0.2300 to start the month, ZIL has seen consistent falls in price, which now means prices are over 50% lower so far in April.

Chainlink (LINK)

Similar to ZIL, LINK has fallen for much of April thus far, as prices moved away from multi-month highs.

As of writing, LINK/USD slipped to a bottom of $13.21, following a high of $14.52 during yesterday’s session.

This move sees LINK trading around 8% lower to start the week, and has led to a breakout of the $13.50 price floor.

Biggest Movers: LINK Hovers Near Long-Term Support as ZIL Loses 10% of Its Value
LINK/USD – Daily Chart

As a result of today’s drop, prices have fallen to their lowest point since March 15, which could be good news for bulls looking to buy the dip.

Looking at the chart, history shows that bulls typically re-enter the market at this level. However, with the moving averages still showing signs of further bearish pressure, some traders could be hesitant to take a position.

Overall, prices are oversold, with the 14-day RSI tracking at 37.57, which is near its weakest since early March.

Could history repeat itself, with bulls lifting LINK prices this week? Let us know your thoughts in the comments.

eliman@bitcoin.com'
Eliman Dambell

Eliman brings a diversified point of view to market analysis, having worked as a brokerage director, retail trading educator, and market commentator in Crypto, Stocks and FX.




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BTC Hits 1-Month Low, Following Easter Selloff – Market Updates Bitcoin News

BTC Hits 1-Month Low, Following Easter Selloff – Market Updates Bitcoin News
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Following a weekend of bearish pressure, BTC’s price fell to its lowest level in over a month. ETH also neared a one-month low, which came as prices once again slipped below $3,000. Overall, the cryptocurrency market cap is down nearly 4% as of writing.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin fell to a one-month low to start the week, as cryptocurrency prices continued to decline, following recent bearish pressure in the market.

Following a peak of $40,570.73 late on Sunday, BTC/USD dropped to a bottom of $38,696.19 during Monday’s session.

Today’s drop saw prices fall to their lowest point since March 15, and this comes as bears were able to break the recent $40,000 support level.

BTC/USD – Daily Chart

Since hitting the earlier low, BTC has since rallied, and is currently sitting at around $39,350, as bulls attempted to recapture earlier losses.

Looking at the chart, today’s drop pushed the 14-day RSI to its own floor of 38, which is within oversold territory.

Bulls will hope that this support in price strength holds, if not we may see further declines, with some bears looking to take BTC closer to $35,000.

Ethereum

In addition to BTC, the world’s second-largest crypto was also trading lower, with recent declines during Monday’s session.

ETH/USD fell for a second consecutive day, dropping to an intraday low of $2,893.91 to start this week’s action.

Monday’s drop saw ETH hit its lowest point in just over three weeks, taking price marginally below support of $2,950 in the process.

ETH/USD – Daily Chart

Similar to BTC, earlier losses have somewhat eased, as bears have likely taken some profits, whilst bulls also fight to maintain this floor.

As of writing, prices are now trading closer to support, despite the 14-day RSI falling below its own floor.

Price strength is currently tracking at 41, which is its lowest since early March, which could be a positive for bulls looking to buy this current weakness.

Will ETH fall to further lows as the week progresses, or rally to overcome the downward pressure? Leave your thoughts in the comments below.

eliman@bitcoin.com'
Eliman Dambell

Eliman brings a diversified point of view to market analysis, having worked as a brokerage director, retail trading educator, and market commentator in Crypto, Stocks and FX.




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UAE Airliner Emirates to Launch NFTs and Experiences in the Metaverse – Metaverse Bitcoin News

UAE Airliner Emirates to Launch NFTs and Experiences in the Metaverse – Metaverse Bitcoin News
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United Arab Emirates (UAE) airliner, Emirates, has announced plans to launch non-fungible tokens (NFT) and experiences in the metaverse for its workers and customers. The launch aligns with UAE’s digital economy and virtual assets initiatives.

First Projects Already Underway

The UAE airliner Emirates has said it will soon launch non-fungible tokens (NFT) and “exciting experiences in the metaverse” for its clientele as well as its workers. According to the airliner, the move aligns with advances in the UAE’s digital economy as well as with the country’s virtual assets related initiatives.

In a recently released statement, the airliner suggested that work on the firsts projects is already underway with the “launch anticipated in the coming months.” Remarking on Emirates’ NFT plans, the airliner’s chairman and CEO Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum pointed to his company’s history of embracing advanced technologies.

UAE’s Vision for the Digital Economy

Al Maktoum also shared what Emirates hopes to achieve with the launch of the NFTs. He said:

We are excited about the opportunities in the digital space of the future and are committing a significant investment in financial and resourcing terms, to develop products and services using advanced technologies that will deliver on revenue, brand experience, and business efficiencies.

In order to help set Emirates on a path towards achieving these goals, the CEO said the airliner’s future-themed Emirates Pavilion at Expo “is being repurposed as a hub to develop cutting-edge future experiences aligned with the UAE’s vision for the digital economy.”

The airliner’s statement also said Emirates will continue to work with its partners on matters regarding its Web3 strategy.

What are your thoughts on this story? Tell us what you think in the comments section below.

Terence Zimwara

Terence Zimwara is a Zimbabwe award-winning journalist, author and writer. He has written extensively about the economic troubles of some African countries as well as how digital currencies can provide Africans with an escape route.














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CISO Pasi Koistinen on Cryptomarkets, Cybercrime and His Role in Coinhako

CISO Pasi Koistinen on Cryptomarkets, Cybercrime and His Role in Coinhako
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The NewsBTC team interacted with Pasi Koistinen for the first time after he was appointed the CISO of Coinhako. We asked him a few questions about the new role and his views on crypto markets and cybercrime. Here is an excerpt of the interesting interaction that happened recently.

Q: Thanks for joining us, and congratulations on your new role as the CISO of Coinhako. First, would you please introduce Coinhako to our readers?

A: Coinhako was founded in 2014 in Singapore, and the platform’s mission is to be the go-to gateway to the crypto economy, providing easy access to digital assets and connecting users to the crypto space.

Q: Can you tell us about your role in Coinhako and what made you join this company in particular?

A: My role as Coinhako’s CISO is to organize and manage cybersecurity activities across the whole company, and communicate related risks to stakeholders. I also act as the head of the security function and work in close contact with other business units spanning across legal, compliance, programming, and user ops. The move to the crypto space was a natural one as I always had a personal interest in the fast-growing digital assets industry. Coinhako was a good choice because it is one of the longest-standing digital asset companies in Singapore. Also, I felt that Coinhako having the in-principle approval as a DPT service provider in Singapore was a good indicator of their reliability.

Q: Would you like to give us some insight into how Coinhako protects the privacy and security of its users?

A: Besides having a robust security framework, our security protocol also includes educating our users with informational content via our online and social platforms, as well as through in-app prompts to encourage users to enable their 2FA, and avoid phishing attacks, dubious websites and other kinds of cyber threats.

Q: What are your plans with Coinhako? How do you intend to improve it further?

A: As the new CISO, I am excited to bring to Coinhako my extensive experience from various industries and different companies. Part of my plan includes growing our cybersecurity capabilities through refining and adopting new technologies and protocols. As the company is scaling up operations, the plan also includes increasing the security team’s headcount, which will be instrumental in expanding our company’s technological capability and maturity.

Q: When were you first introduced to cryptocurrencies? What were your roles and responsibilities before joining Coinhako?

A: My first foray into cryptocurrencies was in 2012. I read about Bitcoin and decided to buy a few back then, just for fun. I wish I still had them!

For the last 22 years, I have been working in the cybersecurity industry and have held various positions such as CISO and lead consultant. Also, I am a cybersecurity entrepreneur and co-founded two cybersecurity firms over the course of my career.

Q: Would you wish to educate our readers on the best practices to safeguard their crypto assets and protect themselves from cybercriminals?

A: The first rule of thumb is never click any message, link or file on the same device that you use for managing your digital assets. It is good practice to use 2FA for authentication but don’t rely on it to save you from a mis-click if a phishing attack is successful.

Q: What are your thoughts on cybercrime and crypto’s role in it? How is it different from pre-crypto days?

A: Cybercrime is evolving all the time and due to the anonymity of crypto, cryptocurrencies have been one of the preferred payment methods for cybercrime. However, they represent only a small percentage of the entire digital asset industry as cash is still the go-to medium for illicit payments. In the early years of cryptocurrencies, cybercriminals used to get paid in bitcoin and could launder their money with ease. But with the maturity of the crypto space, coupled with the transparency of blockchain payments, law enforcement agencies are becoming more knowledgeable of the workings of crypto and getting pretty good at investigations. Anti-crime efforts have to be consistent as perpetrators are constantly looking for opportunities to conduct illegal activities, so a huge shout-out to private institutions and regulators who are working tirelessly to mitigate such illicit activities.

Q: What are the common threats faced by crypto exchanges and businesses these days? How to mitigate them?

A: Crime syndicates generally have the same modus operandi for most attacks on exchanges and businesses. They typically try to illegally obtain assets from end customers through phishing attacks. Threat actors also target the exchanges by trying to infiltrate the systems via exposed systems or by hacking the employees. From our experience, the prime goal of such attacks is to steal customer data and the private encryption keys of the exchanges. Over the past months, we have seen a spike in such attacks. Mitigation of these threats requires a layered defense approach. As such, having a robust security framework consisting of multiple defensive controls to prevent, detect and react to attacks is especially important in ensuring the integrity of our platform and to protect our users’ assets.

Q: Would you like to share your vision of the crypto industry with our readers? How do people stand to benefit from it, especially with few governments attempting to stifle it with strict regulations?

A: The last two years have seen cryptocurrencies reaching mainstream consciousness. I posit that their adoption curve is just beginning though. We will continue to see extensive growth in value and adoption in both B2C and B2B. There will always be countries that want to benefit from this growth and these countries will have to put in place laws and governance that ensure that players in the market don’t cause excessive risks. Taking a responsible approach toward crypto will ensure that the industry gains maturity and trust in the eyes of society, consumers and lawmakers. Developing trust is paramount and will take some time, but it is inevitable too.

Q: Anything else you think our readers should know about?

A: I think cryptocurrencies are a great learning opportunity for everyone. They are effectuating a radical change in the financial ecosystem and beyond, and I believe crypto will modernize the global financial system like the Internet did to the exchange of ideas and information.

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Bitcoin․com Exchange Market Insights Report for April 2022 – Promoted Bitcoin News

Bitcoin․com Exchange Market Insights Report for April 2022 – Promoted Bitcoin News
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This is the inaugural monthly market insights report by Bitcoin.com Exchange. In this and subsequent reports, expect to find a summary of crypto market performance, a macro recap, market structure analysis, and more.

Crypto market performance

In late March, BTC tested $48,000, a key resistance level which had not been reached since September last year. After failing to push through, the marquee crypto saw a reversal to the $40-42,000 level. This had been acting as new support, notably higher than the previous support of $36-38,000 seen in the first quarter of 2022. However, at the time of writing, BTC had dropped below the $40,000 level.

Layer-one protocols led the outperformance over the last 30 days, with NEAR as the best performing large-cap coin. At the time of writing, it was up 64% on the back of a capital raise of $350M led by Tiger Global. Other top performers in the large-cap category included SOL and ADA, up 37.5% and 31.16% respectively over the last 30 days.

Despite a strong 30-day performance, the beginning of April has shown weakness, with the largest sectors experiencing losses across the board. Gaming saw the largest drawback, at -13.3%, followed by Web3 and Defi at -10% and -9% respectively.

Source: messari.io

Macro Recap: Hawkish Fed And Yield Curve Inversion Point To Gloom Ahead

April has seen some easing from the headwinds seemingly caused by the conflict in Ukraine, although U.S. monetary policy continues to be the main driver of financial markets. The month started with the release of the core U.S. CPI data from March 2022. At 8.5%, the number was slightly below expectations, which provided some relief to markets.

Nevertheless, 8.5% was the largest month-to-month increase in the core inflation metric since 1980. Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Christopher Waller stated he expects interest rates to rise considerably over the next several months given the current inflation numbers and the general strength of the economy.

Meanwhile, 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019, which is commonly seen as a sign of recession on the horizon. This inversion has correlated with seven out of eight recessions historically.

Two-year Treasury yields are said to signify the cost of borrowing by banks while 10-year yields signify the potential to invest it in long-term assets. A tightened or inverted Treasury yield rate may force banks to restrict access to money, leading to a slow down in the economy.

Market Structure: Pricing Weakness Contrasts With Historically High Accumulation

BTC gains were erased over the last week after the previous breakthrough of a multi-month price range. Subsequent to the recent upside price action, there has been some profit taking in the market along with a decrease in activity in the network. However, some market metrics show all-time-high BTC accumulation providing support to the market.

We have seen this accumulation become public with the use of BTC as collateral. Notably, Luna Foundation Guard declared it is using BTC as collateral for its algorithmic stablecoin, but we’ve also seen inflows of BTC on Canadian Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) as well as an increase in Wrapped BTC (WBTC) on Ethereum.

As shown in the graph below, exchanges have experienced a high volume of BTC outflows per month from their treasury, which can be interpreted as an indication of accumulation by BTC holders. The amount of Bitcoin leaving exchanges totalled 96,200 BTC in March, a rate similar to what we saw before the bull runs in 2017 and March 2020.

Source: glassnode.com

Another interesting metric that points to market accumulation is the ageing supply of BTC, defined as BTC not moved for at least one year. The below chart indicates an increase in ageing supply of 9.4% over the last eight months. This is similar to what we experienced in the 2018 bear market, when the ageing supply increased by 11.6% over a comparable time frame. This metric is important because it highlights the willingness of market participants to continue holding BTC despite experiencing drawbacks (53% in 2018 and 53.5% in 2022).

Source: glassnode.com

As mentioned, Luna Foundation Guard (LFG) is one of the most outspoken public organisations showing its interest in obtaining BTC supply. LFG increased its BTC balance sheet by 3x over a 9-day period, reaching 30k BTC held by their treasury.

Source: glassnode.com

Meanwhile, demand for BTC in the DeFi market is indicated in the growth of WBTC held by custodian Bitgo. This has also brought some buy pressure to the outstanding supply of BTC. Below we can see an increase in the supply of WBTC by 12,500 units in January, which will be deployed primarily in DeFi.

Source: glassnode.com

Lastly, we look at realized losses. This metric shows when holders prefer to sell and realize losses rather than hold the token with unrealized losses. During bear markets, we see an increased number of daily realized losses. The market is currently absorbing about 8.5k in BTC sales daily.

Source: glassnode.com

Overall one can argue that despite macroeconomic headwinds, BTC continues to find strong historical accumulation across a range of market participants. The realized losses numbers demonstrate that the weakness of some market participants is being absorbed at the current price levels. The resiliency of the market continues to prove strong. Along with an improving macro economic environment, this could provide positive price action in the near future.

 


 

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Bill ‘On Digital Currency’ Caps Crypto Investments for Russians, Opens Door for Payments – Regulation Bitcoin News

Bill ‘On Digital Currency’ Caps Crypto Investments for Russians, Opens Door for Payments – Regulation Bitcoin News
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Russia’s recently revised bill “On Digital Currency” limits crypto purchases for non-qualified investors while providing legal ground for some cryptocurrency payments, according to local media. The draft law, proposed by the Russian finance ministry, also introduces strict requirements for platforms operating with digital assets.

Russian Citizens Who Don’t Pass Test to Buy Only $600 Worth of Crypto Annually

The Ministry of Finance of Russia recently submitted to the government an updated version of its bill “On Digital Currency” designed to comprehensively regulate the country’s crypto market. Details about the law’s provisions have surfaced in Russian media reports this week.

According to the draft, qualified investors, or “professional purchasers of digital currency” as they are now described, will have unrestricted access to crypto assets. Ordinary Russians, however, will be able to buy a maximum of 600,000 rubles (approx. $7,000) worth of cryptocurrency each year. And that’s after they take a special exam.

Those Russian residents who fail to pass the test will be allowed to only acquire coins with a total value not exceeding 50,000 rubles annually (around $600 at the current exchange rates), the Interfax news agency revealed, quoting a source familiar with the document.

The new law defines the term ‘digital currency’ as “a set of electronic data contained in an information system that can be accepted as a means of payment that is not the monetary unit of the Russian Federation, or as an investment.” Digital currency is considered property in Russia, the report notes.

The wording seems to provide the legal basis for the employment of cryptocurrencies in payments. But at the same time, the bill reads that Russian legal entities, including subsidiaries of foreign companies and international organizations established in Russia as well as individuals staying in the country for at least 183 days within 12 months, cannot accept digital currency as payment for goods and services.

The finance ministry has been lobbying to legalize the circulation of cryptocurrencies in Russia while the central bank has opposed the idea and suggested a ban on crypto-related activities such as the issuing and trading digital coins. Most other institutions in Moscow are backing the Minfin’s approach but there’s also a general consensus against allowing payments with any other currency than the ruble.

Russia to Introduce Stringent Standards for Cryptocurrency Companies

The draft law “On Digital Currency” is going to impose strict requirements for crypto platforms working in the Russian Federation. An “exchange operator,” which offers purchases and sales of digital currency on its own behalf and at its own expense, will have to keep at least 30 million rubles of capital. The mandatory threshold for “operators of digital trading platforms,” or those “conducting organized auctions,” is 100 million rubles.

If the bill is adopted as is, these businesses will have numerous other responsibilities, including preparing annual reports, maintaining records of digital currency owners, storing and backup trading data on a daily basis, and carrying out internal audits. The service providers will be added to a special register and their activities will be licensed and overseen by an authorized body appointed by the government.

The requirements are “extremely overstated” and only the largest financial institutions will be able to meet them, blockchain lawyer Mikhail Uspensky commented for the Kommersant. Besides, only Russian entities will be permitted to apply for the role of crypto operators. Foreign exchanges, for example, will have to establish a local subsidiary to obtain a license but many of them may be prevented from doing so by mounting western sanctions over Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Quoting the draft, the Russian business daily also unveiled that only identified users will be able to buy and sell digital currencies. Fiat deposits and withdrawals will be possible exclusively through bank accounts and crypto platforms will be obliged to report suspicious transactions to the Rosfinmonitoring financial watchdog. “Electronic wallets for digital currencies” will be subject to mandatory certification, although this applies only to wallets within the Russian crypto infrastructure.

The bill “On Digital Currency” allows both companies and individual entrepreneurs to engage in crypto mining, once they register with the government. Registration is not required for private Individuals minting digital coins if the electrical energy consumed for this purpose does not exceed certain limits that will be determined by the relevant authorities.

If Russian lawmakers approve the law, it is expected to enter into force on Jan. 1, 2023. The State Duma, the lower house of Russian parliament, is now also reviewing amendments tailored to regulate the taxation of crypto-related operations in the country.

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bill, Central Bank, conflict, Crypto, crypto investments, crypto payments, Cryptocurrencies, Cryptocurrency, Digital Currencies, Digital Currency, draft law, finance ministry, Investments, Law, lawmakers, operators, parliament, Payments, Platforms, Regulations, requirements, rules, Russia, russian, Sanctions, State Duma, Ukraine, War

Do you think Russia will implement the strict regulations for crypto platforms envisaged in the draft law “On Digital Currency?” Share your expectations in the comments section below.

Lubomir Tassev

Lubomir Tassev is a journalist from tech-savvy Eastern Europe who likes Hitchens’s quote: “Being a writer is what I am, rather than what I do.” Besides crypto, blockchain and fintech, international politics and economics are two other sources of inspiration.

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Argentinian Securities Regulator Launches Innovation Hub to Discuss Regulated Crypto Investments – News Bitcoin News

Argentinian Securities Regulator Launches Innovation Hub to Discuss Regulated Crypto Investments – News Bitcoin News
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The National Securities Commission (CNV), which is the Argentinian securities watchdog, recently launched an innovation hub with the goal of advancing conversations about cryptocurrency and fintech investments. This organization will serve as a link between private entities and the institution, to advance new fintech and crypto-regulated instruments to the market.

Argentinian Securities Regulator Assigns Fintech And Crypto Special Importance

The National Securities Commission (CNV), the Argentinian Securities regulator, is reportedly taking action to streamline the arrival of new fintech and crypto-based investment instruments to the market. The institution recently launched an innovation hub that will link private investors with regulators, to exchange information about the requirements these products must meet to be released to market.

Andres Consentino, president of the CNV, was optimistic about the future of this initiative. He stated:

We are being proactive in the context of the emergence of crypto assets and fintech, to work together with the sector and generate a regulatory and policy framework in this regard.

One of the main concerns behind this new hub, and one of the motivations for its launch, is the number of cryptocurrency scams that have happened in the country since cryptocurrency adoption peaked. On this issue, Consentino stated:

This initiative also aims to improve the protection framework for the investor against phenomena of quite unfortunate circumstances that usually occur.


Crypto Investment Products Coming Soon

This innovation hub might usher the new era of regulated crypto-linked investment products in Argentina. This is the opinion of Andres Ponte, president of Matba Rofex, an investment brokerage company, who stated these products will be launched in the short term.

There are two objectives behind the regulation of cryptocurrency investments in the country according to local sources. One is the protection of the investors that are seeking to put funds in crypto markets through the launch of regulated products. Another one is the benefit the national tax agency might enjoy from these products that, due to their nature, cannot be hidden from the AFIP, the national tax agency.

With the regulated instruments in place, the capacity for collecting taxes on these cryptocurrencies would be almost certain, different from what is occurring now, when most of the cryptocurrency movements and investments are made in exchanges and platforms outside the country.

In this line of thinking, a law project was presented in the Senate on April 1 seeking to tax all properties Argentinians have in foreign countries, including cryptocurrency, to pay a part of the debt the country has with the International Monetary Fund.

What do you think about the launch of the innovation hub in Argentina? Tell us in the comments section below.

sergio@bitcoin.com'
Sergio Goschenko

Sergio is a cryptocurrency journalist based in Venezuela. He describes himself as late to the game, entering the cryptosphere when the price rise happened during December 2017. Having a computer engineering background, living in Venezuela, and being impacted by the cryptocurrency boom at a social level, he offers a different point of view about crypto success and how it helps the unbanked and underserved.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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Ethereum Slides Below 3K, Why Bears Could Aim $2.5K

Ethereum Slides Below 3K, Why Bears Could Aim $2.5K
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Ethereum started a fresh decline from the $3,080 resistance against the US Dollar. ETH price traded below the key $3,000 support and even declined below $2,920.

  • Ethereum failed to clear $3,080 and started a fresh decline.
  • The price is now trading below $3,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a key rising channel with support near $3,030 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could recover, but upsides might be capped near the $2,950 level.

Ethereum Price Breaks Key Support

Ethereum attempted a fresh increase above the $3,050 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. However, ETH failed to gain strength above the $3,080 level.

A high was formed near $3,082 and the price started a fresh decline. There was a clear move below the $3,050 support level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a key rising channel with support near $3,030 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

The pair traded below the $3,000 support zone. More importantly, there was a move below the $2,920 support. A low is formed near $2,896 and ether is now consolidating losses.

On the upside, an initial resistance is seen near the $2,940 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,082 swing high to $2,896 low. The next major resistance is near the $2,980 and $3,000 levels.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,082 swing high to $2,896 low is also near the $2,990 level. A close above the $3,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average might start a decent recovery wave. The next major resistance could be near the $3,050.

More Losses in ETH?

If ethereum fails to start a recovery wave above the $3,000 level, it could continue to move down. An initial support on the downside is near the $2,900 zone.

The next major support is near the $2,850 level. If there is a downside break below the $2,850 support, the price could start another decline. In this scenario, there is a risk of a move towards the $2,780 level.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 30 level.

Major Support Level – $2,900

Major Resistance Level – $3,000

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Bitcoin ATM Operator Indicted in New York Allegedly Running Illegal Business Attracting Criminals – Regulation Bitcoin News

Bitcoin ATM Operator Indicted in New York Allegedly Running Illegal Business Attracting Criminals – Regulation Bitcoin News
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A bitcoin ATM operator has been indicted in New York for running an illegal business “marketed towards individuals engaged in criminal activity.” The district attorney in charge described: “Robert Taylor allegedly went to great lengths to keep his bitcoin kiosk business as secret as possible to attract a clientele that would pay top dollar for anonymity.”

Operator of 46 Bitcoin ATMs Charged

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg Jr. announced Wednesday that Robert Taylor has been indicted “for operating an illegal bitcoin ATM business that he marketed towards individuals engaged in criminal activity.”

The announcement states:

Taylor operated bitcoin kiosks in at least 46 locations in New York City, mostly in laundromats, as well as locations in New Jersey and Miami.

Between 2017 and 2018, the 35-year-old “converted more than $5.6 million of his customers’ cash into bitcoin while charging a fee of between 10% and 20%,” the district attorney detailed.

Taylor is charged “with multiple counts of operating an unlicensed money transmission business, criminal tax fraud in the third degree, and offering a false instrument for filing in the first degree.”

Bragg described, “Robert Taylor allegedly went to great lengths to keep his bitcoin kiosk business as secret as possible to attract a clientele that would pay top dollar for anonymity,” elaborating:

As the use of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin proliferate, they continue to attract a wide range of bad actors who are hoping to evade law enforcement.

The announcement further notes:

In total, the search warrants resulted in the recovery of $250,000 in cash from Taylor’s apartment, as well as 20 bitcoin ATMs containing $44,000 in cash.

Forensic analysis showed that more than $5.6 million in cash was deposited into Taylor’s bitcoin ATMs between September 2017 and November 2018. More than $590,000 in fees were collected and approximately $160,000 were deposited into Taylor’s personal bank accounts.

However, Taylor only reported an income of approximately $3,000 on his 2017 tax returns and a loss of $140,000 on his 2018 tax returns.

In addition, his business did not have a money transmission license or a virtual currency business license (Bitlicense) from the New York State Department of Financial Services (DFS). It is also not licensed by the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN).

Tags in this story
Bitcoin ATM, bitcoin atm operator, bitcoin atm operator charged, bitcoin atm operator indicted, Bitcoin ATMs, BTM, btm operator, Crypto ATM, Cryptocurrency ATM, illegal bitcoin atm, robert taylor

What do you think about this case? Let us know in the comments section below.

Kevin Helms

A student of Austrian Economics, Kevin found Bitcoin in 2011 and has been an evangelist ever since. His interests lie in Bitcoin security, open-source systems, network effects and the intersection between economics and cryptography.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It is not a direct offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation or endorsement of any products, services, or companies. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. Neither the company nor the author is responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss caused or alleged to be caused by or in connection with the use of or reliance on any content, goods or services mentioned in this article.

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